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Inverse Probability Weighting — how does it work?

hard

Answer

  • Weight each treated unit by 1/e(x) and each control by 1/(1-e(x)) → weighted population is balanced on X.
  • Marginal ATE estimator: Σ (Ti  Yi  /  ei)    Σ(T_{i}\;Y_{i}\; / \;e_{i})\; - \;{\Sigma} ((1Ti)  Yi  /  (1ei))  /  n((1 - T_{i})\;Y_{i}\; / \;(1 - e_{i}))\; / \;n.
  • Consistent under unconfoundedness + overlap + correct e(x) model.
  • Weakness: high-variance when e(x) near 0 or 1 → truncate weights or use stabilized IPW / doubly robust estimators.
  • Standard in observational causal inference.
Check yourself — multiple choice
  • Random
  • Weight treated by 1/e, control by 1/(1-e) → balances X on average; consistent under unconfoundedness + overlap + correct e model; variance blows up near e ∈ {0,1}
  • Same as OLS
  • Not real

IPW: reweight by 1/e or 1/(1-e); consistent under unconfoundedness + overlap.

#causal-inference

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