Prediction interval vs confidence interval — the difference.
mediumAnswer
- CI: uncertainty in a parameter (μ, β, p) — shrinks with n.
- PI: uncertainty in a new individual observation — includes both parameter uncertainty AND irreducible noise σ, so wider than CI and doesn't shrink to zero (bounded by σ).
- Practical: CI answers 'what's the average?' → tightens with n.
- PI answers 'where will the next point land?' → bounded by irreducible variance.
Check yourself — multiple choice
- Same
- CI: parameter uncertainty (shrinks with n); PI: parameter + irreducible noise on a new point (bounded by σ, doesn't shrink to 0)
- PI is smaller
- Only for regression
CI: parameter uncertainty; PI: new-point uncertainty including σ (wider, floor at σ).
#confidence-interval#regression
Practise Statistics Fundamentals
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