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State Kolmogorov's three probability axioms.

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Answer

  • For a sample space Ω and events A: (1) P(A) ≥ 0 (non-negativity).
  • (2) P(Ω) = 1 (normalization — some outcome must occur).
  • (3) For disjoint (mutually exclusive) events A1A_{1}, A2A_{2}, ...: P(  Ai)  =  ΣP(\;A_{i})\; = \;{\Sigma} P(Ai)P(A_{i}) (countable additivity).
  • All of probability theory — conditional probability, Bayes, expectation, independence — is derived from these three axioms.
Check yourself — multiple choice
  • P(A) can be negative
  • P(A) ≥ 0; P(Ω) = 1; P(  Ai)  =  ΣP(\;A_{i})\; = \;{\Sigma} P(Ai)P(A_{i}) for disjoint events — everything else is derived
  • P(Ω) = 0
  • Additivity holds without disjointness

Kolmogorov: non-negativity + normalization + countable additivity for disjoint events.

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