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What is p-hacking and how do you prevent it?

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Answer

  • Running many analyses (test variants, subgroups, transformations) until you find p < 0.05, then reporting only the significant results.
  • Inflates false-positive rate dramatically.
  • Prevention: (1) pre-register hypotheses + analysis plan; (2) Bonferroni / FDR on all tested variants; (3) separate exploration (open) from confirmation (locked test set + pre-registered stat plan); (4) report all comparisons, not just significant ones.
  • Foundation of the replication crisis.
Check yourself — multiple choice
  • Not real
  • Try many analyses until p < 0.05; prevent via pre-registration, multiple-testing correction, exploration vs confirmation split, full reporting
  • Same as effect size
  • Just use p-values

P-hacking: multiple analyses → false positives; prevent via pre-reg + correction.

#hypothesis-testing#multiple-testing

Practise Statistics Fundamentals

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