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How do you estimate heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE)?

hard

Answer

  • CATE(x)  =  E[Y(1)    Y(0)    X  =  x]\mathrm{CATE}(x)\; = \;E[Y(1)\; - \;Y(0)\; \mid \;X\; = \;x] varies with covariates.
  • Methods: (1) interaction terms in regression (Y ~ T + T×X); (2) causal forests / GRF (Wager & Athey); (3) meta-learners: T-learner (separate models), S-learner (single joint), X-learner (better in imbalanced treatment), R-learner; (4) doubly-robust CATE.
  • Uses: personalized recommendations, targeted policies (Uplift modeling in marketing).
  • Requires overlap + unconfoundedness (or RCT).
Check yourself — multiple choice
  • Random
  • CATE  =  E[Y(1)Y(0)X]\mathrm{CATE}\; = \;E[Y(1) - Y(0) \mid X]; causal forests, T/S/X/R-learners, DR-learners; foundation of uplift modeling and personalized targeting
  • Same as ATE
  • Not real

HTE / CATE: causal forests + meta-learners; foundation of uplift modeling.

#causal-inference

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