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Mediation analysis — direct vs indirect effects.

hard

Answer

  • Path: T → M → Y (with possible direct T → Y).
  • Decomposition: total effect = direct effect (T → Y not through M) + indirect effect (T → M → Y).
  • Baron-Kenny style regression coefficients or, better, potential-outcomes-based Natural Direct / Indirect Effects (Pearl, Robins).
  • Identification requires no unmeasured T-M, T-Y, or M-Y confounders.
  • Key application: understanding causal mechanism, not just total effect.
Check yourself — multiple choice
  • Not real
  • Total = direct (T → Y not via M) + indirect (T → M → Y); use Pearl/Robins Natural Direct/Indirect Effects under no-unmeasured-confounding at T-M, T-Y, M-Y
  • Same as regression
  • Random

Mediation: total = direct + indirect (T→M→Y); Baron-Kenny / natural effects.

#causal-inference

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