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Negative binomial regression — why use it?

hard

Answer

  • Adds dispersion parameter θ: Var  =  μ  +  μ2/θ\operatorname{Var}\; = \;{\mu}\; + \;{\mu}^{2} / {\theta}.
  • Handles over-dispersion (Var > Mean) which is the norm for real counts (customer visits, defect counts, rare events).
  • Fit by MLE.
  • When θ → ∞ → reduces to Poisson.
  • Interpretation of exp(β)\operatorname{exp}({\beta}) same as Poisson (multiplicative rate ratio).
  • Modern default for count regression in industry.
Check yourself — multiple choice
  • Same as Poisson
  • NB: Var  =  μ  +  μ2/θ\operatorname{Var}\; = \;{\mu}\; + \;{\mu}^{2} / {\theta} → models overdispersion; reduces to Poisson as θ → ∞; industry default for counts
  • Only for binary
  • Random

Negative binomial: extra dispersion → handles overdispersed counts.

#regression#glm

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