Novelty vs primacy effects in long experiments.
hardAnswer
- Novelty: users react positively to any change initially, then revert → early effect inflated, long-run effect smaller.
- Primacy: existing users hate change initially, then adapt → early effect deflated, long-run effect larger.
- Fixes: (1) run experiments long enough (2-4 weeks minimum) to observe stabilization; (2) segment by user tenure (new vs existing); (3) look at the trend of daily effect over time; (4) always plan for ramp-up + steady-state phases in analysis.
Check yourself — multiple choice
- Same thing
- Novelty: early effect inflated / long-run smaller; Primacy: opposite; fix with 2-4 week runs, tenure segmentation, daily-effect trend
- Not real
- Random
Novelty inflates early, primacy deflates early; run 2-4+ weeks; segment by tenure.
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Practise Statistics Fundamentals
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