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What is a conjugate prior?

hard

Answer

  • A prior p(θ) is conjugate to a likelihood p(x    θ)p(x\; \mid \;{\theta}) if the posterior p(θ    x)p({\theta}\; \mid \;x) belongs to the same family.
  • Examples: Beta prior + Bernoulli likelihood → Beta posterior; Gamma prior + Poisson → Gamma; Normal prior + Normal (known σ) → Normal; Dirichlet + categorical → Dirichlet.
  • Enables closed-form Bayesian updates — cornerstone of Thompson sampling, online Bayesian inference, contextual bandits.
Check yourself — multiple choice
  • Random
  • Prior + likelihood → posterior in same family; Beta-Bernoulli / Gamma-Poisson / Normal-Normal / Dirichlet-Categorical — enables closed-form updates + Thompson sampling
  • Not real
  • Only frequentist

Conjugate priors: posterior in same family; closed-form updates.

#bayesian#estimation

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