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When would you use Hoeffding's inequality for a CI?

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Answer

  • Distribution-free CI for the mean of a bounded random variable in [a, b]: P(X    μ  >  t)P( \mid X\; - \;{\mu} \mid \; > \;t)2    exp(2nt2  /  (ba)2)2\; \cdot \;\operatorname{exp}( - 2\mathrm{nt}^{2}\; / \;(b - a)^{2}).
  • Gives ε for target coverage: ε = (b-a) * √(log(2/α) / (2n)).
  • Uses: bandits (UCB), online learning regret, certification without normality.
  • Weaker (wider) than CLT-based CIs for well-behaved data but valid for any n and any distribution on [a, b].
Check yourself — multiple choice
  • Requires normality
  • Distribution-free CI on bounded [a,b] variables; ε = (b-a)√(log(2/α)/(2n)); used in bandits / UCB / anytime-valid inference
  • Same as CLT
  • Only for regression

Hoeffding CI: distribution-free on bounded RVs; foundation of bandits / anytime.

#confidence-interval#theory

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